Model line
New Haven −1.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Haven 56%
Projected tempo
68.1
possessions
Site
New Haven home
44%Win probability56%
The model makes New Haven a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercyhurst offense vs New Haven defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | New Haven D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #36163.5 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #20151.8 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #14417.1 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #3426.8 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #3227.7 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #3416.1 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #8448.9 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #20052.1 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #20334.3 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #21738.4 |
New Haven offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| New Haven O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5#361 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 48.7#297 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 17.8#262 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 21.5#359 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 31.7#262 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 7.7#39 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 49.7#247 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 51.0#213 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 30.2#340 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 70.2#267 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#176 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
New Haven
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 66–59 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Wagner338 | L 62–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | St. Francis PA | L 67–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 84–77 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Stonehill350 | W 64–51 |
