Model line
Northwestern −23.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern 99%
Projected tempo
68.6
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Northwestern a 23.1-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercyhurst offense vs Northwestern defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Northwestern offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
