Model line
Mercyhurst −6.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mercyhurst 75%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
75%Win probability25%
The model makes Mercyhurst a 6.4-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercyhurst offense vs Western Illinois defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | Western Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #23367.3 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #30654.2 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #30114.9 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #33534.8 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #17334.8 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #3555.2 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #11249.9 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #30354.6 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #29135.6 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #32534.6 |
Western Illinois offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| Western Illinois O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#233 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 44.5#361 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 17.5#240 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 27.0#297 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 37.7#111 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 11.1#311 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 37.0#365 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 43.5#361 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 30.9#324 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 66.2#352 | FT% | — |
| 33.3#312 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
Western Illinois
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lindenwood303 | L 69–91 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | SIU Edwardsville281 | L 47–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 59–81 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Southern Indiana324 | L 70–77 |
| Thu, Feb 12 | H | Little Rock219 | L 58–77 |
