Model line
Canisius −3.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Canisius 63%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Canisius home
37%Win probability63%
The model makes Canisius a 3.1-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercyhurst offense vs Canisius defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | Canisius D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #34964.3 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #22452.2 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #22316.0 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #14729.8 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #18335.2 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #2258.5 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #29356.5 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #28554.3 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #11833.0 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #4544.0 |
Canisius offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| Canisius O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.3#349 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 46.3#348 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 19.6#340 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 29.3#224 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 31.4#270 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 9.7#206 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 55.4#103 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 44.0#359 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 33.3#207 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 71.9#210 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#181 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
Canisius
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Quinnipiac249 | L 63–67 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Merrimack211 | W 67–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–68 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Rider355 | W 72–66 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Manhattan331 | L 65–69 |
