Model line
Notre Dame −24.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame >99%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Notre Dame a 24.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mercyhurst offense vs Notre Dame defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
