Model line
Mercyhurst −5.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mercyhurst 71%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Mercyhurst home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Mercyhurst a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
LIU offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| LIU O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#192 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 52.8#109 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 18.9#317 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 33.9#70 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 34.0#208 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 8.6#112 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 50.2#237 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 52.4#153 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 35.8#67 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 66.7#346 | FT% | — |
| 29.3#354 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Mercyhurst offense vs LIU defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | LIU D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #19268.2 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #9750.0 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #5618.8 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #29633.0 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #17034.7 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #1613.8 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #9149.2 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #13350.9 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #7232.2 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #34732.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
LIU
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Arizona5 | L 58–92 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | Mercyhurst294 | W 79–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Wagner338 | W 64–56 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Chicago St.347 | W 79–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 74–60 |
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
