Model line
Mercyhurst −7.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mercyhurst 78%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Mercyhurst home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Mercyhurst a 7.5-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Le Moyne offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| Le Moyne O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#133 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 52.7#114 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 19.1#324 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 25.2#334 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 39.5#69 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 9.5#183 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 56.5#78 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 53.5#107 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 34.3#157 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 71.8#213 | FT% | — |
| 40.8#150 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Mercyhurst offense vs Le Moyne defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | Le Moyne D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #13369.2 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #7649.3 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #29015.0 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #11229.1 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #12432.7 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #1879.1 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #25154.9 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #1546.1 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #30336.0 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #16939.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Le Moyne
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stonehill350 | L 71–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | New Haven351 | L 59–66 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 76–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Stonehill350 | L 68–77 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 77–78 |
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
