Model line
Mercyhurst −9.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mercyhurst 85%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Mercyhurst home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Mercyhurst a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fairleigh Dickinson offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| Fairleigh Dickinson O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#353 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 47.1#334 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 18.1#276 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 32.0#123 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 32.8#238 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 9.4#174 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 51.0#216 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 48.6#293 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 30.3#338 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 70.1#269 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#62 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Mercyhurst offense vs Fairleigh Dickinson defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | Fairleigh Dickinson D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #35364.1 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #33555.2 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #21816.1 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #4627.3 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #21936.3 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #3614.7 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #15151.3 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #28254.1 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #35437.8 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #14440.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fairleigh Dickinson
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Mercyhurst294 | L 61–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | LIU262 | L 60–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Le Moyne319 | L 59–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | New Haven351 | L 77–84 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Chicago St.347 | W 60–59 |
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
