Model line
Texas A&M Commerce −9.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas A&M Commerce 83%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Texas A&M Commerce home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes Texas A&M Commerce a 9.0-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fairleigh Dickinson offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Fairleigh Dickinson O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#353 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 47.1#334 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 18.1#276 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 32.0#123 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 32.8#238 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 9.4#174 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 51.0#216 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 48.6#293 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 30.3#338 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 70.1#269 | FT% | — |
| 45.2#62 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Fairleigh Dickinson defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Fairleigh Dickinson D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #35364.1 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #33555.2 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #21816.1 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #4627.3 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #21936.3 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #3614.7 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #15151.3 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #28254.1 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #35437.8 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #14440.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fairleigh Dickinson
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Mercyhurst294 | L 61–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | LIU262 | L 60–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Le Moyne319 | L 59–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | New Haven351 | L 77–84 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Chicago St.347 | W 60–59 |
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
