Model line
New Haven −5.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Haven 70%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
New Haven home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes New Haven a 5.0-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs New Haven defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | New Haven D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #36163.5 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #20151.8 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #14417.1 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #3426.8 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #3227.7 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #3416.1 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #8448.9 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #20052.1 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #20334.3 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #21738.4 |
New Haven offense vs Chicago St. defense
| New Haven O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5#361 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 48.7#297 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 17.8#262 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 21.5#359 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 31.7#262 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 7.7#39 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 49.7#247 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 51.0#213 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 30.2#340 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 70.2#267 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#176 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
New Haven
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 66–59 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Wagner338 | L 62–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | St. Francis PA | L 67–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 84–77 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Stonehill350 | W 64–51 |
