Model line
Mercyhurst −10.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mercyhurst 85%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
Mercyhurst home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Mercyhurst a 10.0-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Mercyhurst offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
