Model line
Wagner −6.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wagner 76%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Wagner home
25%Win probability76%
The model makes Wagner a 6.6-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs Wagner defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Wagner D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #32465.3 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #12450.4 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #30014.9 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #14229.6 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #31040.8 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #3296.5 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #22954.1 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #9749.9 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #20534.3 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #29835.8 |
Wagner offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Wagner O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#324 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 49.6#262 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 18.5#301 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 32.8#95 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 32.3#254 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 10.4#270 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 48.9#269 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 46.6#339 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 36.6#38 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 72.6#185 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#247 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
Wagner
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | LIU262 | L 56–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Chicago St.347 | W 80–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Haven351 | W 65–62 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | St. Francis PA | W 65–56 |
