Model line
Northwestern −29.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northwestern >99%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Northwestern home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Northwestern a 29.0-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs Northwestern defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Northwestern D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #32265.3 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #16151.0 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #12217.5 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #33134.7 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #17234.8 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #10910.6 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #36063.8 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #17451.6 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #14433.4 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #15840.2 |
Northwestern offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Northwestern O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#322 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 51.7#164 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 13.0#7 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 28.1#263 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 33.9#213 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 6.4#9 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 65.8#5 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 52.9#133 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 33.0#230 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 75.1#77 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#295 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
Northwestern
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Purdue29 | L 68–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Indiana37 | W 74–61 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Penn St.90 | W 76–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Minnesota63 | L 66–67 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Purdue29 | L 66–70 |
