Model line
Missouri −37.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri >99%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Missouri home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Missouri a 37.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs Missouri defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Missouri D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #18768.3 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #18751.5 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #18616.5 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #24231.7 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #19735.5 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #10810.6 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #18152.5 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #5548.7 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #34136.8 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #7243.0 |
Missouri offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Missouri O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#187 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 55.0#39 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 17.8#260 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 34.9#50 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 42.1#29 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 9.7#210 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 51.2#211 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 56.4#40 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 35.0#116 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 69.1#296 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#241 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
Missouri
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Miami FL13 | L 66–80 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kentucky20 | L 72–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arkansas23 | L 84–88 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Oklahoma22 | L 64–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mississippi St.70 | W 88–64 |
