Model line
South Dakota −10.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Dakota 87%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
South Dakota home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes South Dakota a 10.9-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs South Dakota defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
South Dakota offense vs Chicago St. defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
