Model line
Illinois St. −10.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois St. 86%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Chicago St. home
86%Win probability14%
The model makes Illinois St. a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Illinois St. offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Illinois St. O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#214 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 53.6#80 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 16.5#164 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 28.3#254 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 31.7#261 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 8.6#110 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 51.1#215 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 54.5#72 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 34.9#127 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 70.8#245 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#116 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Chicago St. offense vs Illinois St. defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Illinois St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #21467.7 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #8549.6 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #20016.3 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #1025.1 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #11732.6 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #3396.1 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #15951.6 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #7849.5 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #12533.1 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #32134.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Illinois St.
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | Auburn27 | L 66–88 |
| Wed, Mar 25 | A | Dayton67 | W 61–55 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Wake Forest82 | W 78–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Kent St.126 | W 79–58 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 52–74 |
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
