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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Chicago St. · #347 · NEC · 0–0Murray St. · #97 · MVC · 1–0Wed, Dec 2 · 8:00 PM ETESPN+CFSB Center · Murray, KY
Model line
Murray St. −28.7
Win probability
Murray St. >99%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Murray St. home
<1%Win probability>99%

The model makes Murray St. a 28.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Chicago St. offense vs Murray St. defense

Chicago St. OStatMurray St. D
65.8#302Tempo#2072.3
45.3#358eFG%#23552.4
15.6#110TOV%#23215.8
28.3#252ORB%#21531.3
30.0#310FT rate#11132.2
8.7#120Block%#2058.9
50.3#234Assist%#1744.1
44.0#3602P%#17851.7
32.1#2743P%#31436.2
75.0#80FT%—
30.9#3413PA rate#36427.4

Murray St. offense vs Chicago St. defense

Murray St. OStatChicago St. D
72.3#20Tempo#30265.8
53.8#73eFG%#35456.7
16.3#155TOV%#2020.1
32.6#101ORB%#33935.0
38.6#88FT rate#26038.0
8.1#67Block%#3574.9
49.1#261Assist%#36572.7
55.0#572P%#36460.0
35.0#1173P%#28835.6
75.5#65FT%—
44.8#733PA rate#350.8

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Chicago St.

Wed, Mar 4ALIU262L 75–79
Sat, Feb 28AWagner338L 61–80
Thu, Feb 26ALIU262L 56–73
Sat, Feb 21HCentral Connecticut334W 70–51
Thu, Feb 19HFairleigh Dickinson345L 59–60

Murray St.

Mon, Nov 2NTennessee St.204W 94–64
Wed, Mar 18ANevada77L 75–89
Fri, Mar 6NIllinois Chicago105L 79–92
Sun, Mar 1ABradley183L 78–87
Sat, Feb 21HEvansville273W 88–75