Model line
Evansville −10.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Evansville 87%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Evansville home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Evansville a 10.7-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs Evansville defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Evansville D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #22767.4 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #33455.1 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #25915.4 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #17130.2 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #9031.4 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #13510.0 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #31858.0 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #27754.0 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #35137.6 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #6243.2 |
Evansville offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Evansville O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#227 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 49.3#276 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 19.1#323 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 22.0#355 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 29.8#316 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 7.1#17 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 54.3#132 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 49.9#256 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 32.2#268 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 73.6#147 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#111 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
Evansville
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 59–68 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Southern Illinois172 | L 67–81 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Valparaiso142 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Belmont130 | L 64–98 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Murray St.97 | L 75–88 |
