Model line
Illinois Chicago −23.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois Chicago 99%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Illinois Chicago home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Illinois Chicago a 23.0-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs Illinois Chicago defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Illinois Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #24067.1 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #12750.5 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #3119.7 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #25532.0 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #14833.9 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #5711.8 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #36166.0 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #13050.8 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #14333.4 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #1946.4 |
Illinois Chicago offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Illinois Chicago O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#240 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 49.8#245 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 17.6#246 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 36.3#22 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 36.2#144 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 10.3#260 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 53.6#149 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 51.0#211 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 31.6#300 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 72.5#190 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#319 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
Illinois Chicago
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | California94 | L 73–91 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drake137 | W 72–51 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Murray St.97 | W 92–79 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Indiana St.212 | L 63–79 |
