Model line
Incarnate Word −10.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Incarnate Word 87%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Incarnate Word home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Incarnate Word a 10.5-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Incarnate Word offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
