Model line
Central Connecticut −6.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Connecticut 76%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Central Connecticut home
25%Win probability76%
The model makes Central Connecticut a 6.6-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Chicago St. offense vs Central Connecticut defense
| Chicago St. O | Stat | Central Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#302 | Tempo | #32565.2 |
| 45.3#358 | eFG% | #10850.2 |
| 15.6#110 | TOV% | #33514.0 |
| 28.3#252 | ORB% | #18130.4 |
| 30.0#310 | FT rate | #2126.9 |
| 8.7#120 | Block% | #9210.9 |
| 50.3#234 | Assist% | #22554.0 |
| 44.0#360 | 2P% | #10950.3 |
| 32.1#274 | 3P% | #14133.4 |
| 75.0#80 | FT% | — |
| 30.9#341 | 3PA rate | #18939.3 |
Central Connecticut offense vs Chicago St. defense
| Central Connecticut O | Stat | Chicago St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#325 | Tempo | #30265.8 |
| 51.6#168 | eFG% | #35456.7 |
| 16.2#153 | TOV% | #2020.1 |
| 27.5#281 | ORB% | #33935.0 |
| 31.2#277 | FT rate | #26038.0 |
| 6.5#12 | Block% | #3574.9 |
| 50.9#218 | Assist% | #36572.7 |
| 50.5#233 | 2P% | #36460.0 |
| 35.8#65 | 3P% | #28835.6 |
| 76.7#38 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#276 | 3PA rate | #350.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Chicago St.
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | LIU262 | L 75–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wagner338 | L 61–80 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | LIU262 | L 56–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–51 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | L 59–60 |
Central Connecticut
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Wagner338 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Francis PA | W 69–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Mercyhurst294 | W 80–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Chicago St.347 | L 51–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 78–77 |
