Model line
Wagner −6.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wagner 75%
Projected tempo
69.4
possessions
Site
Wagner home
25%Win probability75%
The model makes Wagner a 6.3-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Connecticut offense vs Wagner defense
| Central Connecticut O | Stat | Wagner D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#325 | Tempo | #32465.3 |
| 51.6#168 | eFG% | #12450.4 |
| 16.2#153 | TOV% | #30014.9 |
| 27.5#281 | ORB% | #14229.6 |
| 31.2#277 | FT rate | #31040.8 |
| 6.5#12 | Block% | #3296.5 |
| 50.9#218 | Assist% | #22954.1 |
| 50.5#233 | 2P% | #9749.9 |
| 35.8#65 | 3P% | #20534.3 |
| 76.7#38 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#276 | 3PA rate | #29835.8 |
Wagner offense vs Central Connecticut defense
| Wagner O | Stat | Central Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.3#324 | Tempo | #32565.2 |
| 49.6#262 | eFG% | #10850.2 |
| 18.5#301 | TOV% | #33514.0 |
| 32.8#95 | ORB% | #18130.4 |
| 32.3#254 | FT rate | #2126.9 |
| 10.4#270 | Block% | #9210.9 |
| 48.9#269 | Assist% | #22554.0 |
| 46.6#339 | 2P% | #10950.3 |
| 36.6#38 | 3P% | #14133.4 |
| 72.6#185 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#247 | 3PA rate | #18939.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Connecticut
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Wagner338 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Francis PA | W 69–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Mercyhurst294 | W 80–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Chicago St.347 | L 51–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 78–77 |
Wagner
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | LIU262 | L 56–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Central Connecticut334 | W 70–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Chicago St.347 | W 80–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Haven351 | W 65–62 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | St. Francis PA | W 65–56 |
