Model line
New Haven −4.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
New Haven 69%
Projected tempo
68.3
possessions
Site
New Haven home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes New Haven a 4.6-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Connecticut offense vs New Haven defense
| Central Connecticut O | Stat | New Haven D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#325 | Tempo | #36163.5 |
| 51.6#168 | eFG% | #20151.8 |
| 16.2#153 | TOV% | #14417.1 |
| 27.5#281 | ORB% | #3426.8 |
| 31.2#277 | FT rate | #3227.7 |
| 6.5#12 | Block% | #3416.1 |
| 50.9#218 | Assist% | #8448.9 |
| 50.5#233 | 2P% | #20052.1 |
| 35.8#65 | 3P% | #20334.3 |
| 76.7#38 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#276 | 3PA rate | #21738.4 |
New Haven offense vs Central Connecticut defense
| New Haven O | Stat | Central Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.5#361 | Tempo | #32565.2 |
| 48.7#297 | eFG% | #10850.2 |
| 17.8#262 | TOV% | #33514.0 |
| 21.5#359 | ORB% | #18130.4 |
| 31.7#262 | FT rate | #2126.9 |
| 7.7#39 | Block% | #9210.9 |
| 49.7#247 | Assist% | #22554.0 |
| 51.0#213 | 2P% | #10950.3 |
| 30.2#340 | 3P% | #14133.4 |
| 70.2#267 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#176 | 3PA rate | #18939.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Connecticut
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Wagner338 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Francis PA | W 69–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Mercyhurst294 | W 80–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Chicago St.347 | L 51–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 78–77 |
New Haven
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 66–59 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Wagner338 | L 62–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | St. Francis PA | L 67–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 84–77 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Stonehill350 | W 64–51 |
