Model line
Mercyhurst −9.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mercyhurst 85%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Mercyhurst home
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Mercyhurst a 9.7-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Connecticut offense vs Mercyhurst defense
| Central Connecticut O | Stat | Mercyhurst D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#325 | Tempo | #34264.5 |
| 51.6#168 | eFG% | #10350.1 |
| 16.2#153 | TOV% | #6418.7 |
| 27.5#281 | ORB% | #15429.9 |
| 31.2#277 | FT rate | #33342.6 |
| 6.5#12 | Block% | #9011.0 |
| 50.9#218 | Assist% | #18052.5 |
| 50.5#233 | 2P% | #13851.0 |
| 35.8#65 | 3P% | #7732.3 |
| 76.7#38 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#276 | 3PA rate | #33933.6 |
Mercyhurst offense vs Central Connecticut defense
| Mercyhurst O | Stat | Central Connecticut D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#342 | Tempo | #32565.2 |
| 49.5#265 | eFG% | #10850.2 |
| 14.3#31 | TOV% | #33514.0 |
| 26.4#312 | ORB% | #18130.4 |
| 25.6#361 | FT rate | #2126.9 |
| 6.3#7 | Block% | #9210.9 |
| 54.2#135 | Assist% | #22554.0 |
| 50.0#253 | 2P% | #10950.3 |
| 32.1#276 | 3P% | #14133.4 |
| 74.1#126 | FT% | — |
| 31.1#338 | 3PA rate | #18939.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Connecticut
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Wagner338 | L 60–70 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | St. Francis PA | W 69–64 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Mercyhurst294 | W 80–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Chicago St.347 | L 51–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Le Moyne319 | W 78–77 |
Mercyhurst
| Tue, Mar 10 | A | LIU262 | L 70–79 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stonehill350 | W 56–51 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 70–61 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stonehill350 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Central Connecticut334 | L 78–80 |
