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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Oakland · #208 · Horz · 0–0Northern Kentucky · #217 · Horz · 0–0Wed, Feb 24 · 7:00 PM ETTruist Arena · Highland Heights, KY
Model line
Northern Kentucky −6.0
Win probability
Northern Kentucky 74%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Northern Kentucky home
26%Win probability74%

The model makes Northern Kentucky a 6.0-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Oakland offense vs Northern Kentucky defense

Oakland OStatNorthern Kentucky D
71.1#50Tempo#5870.9
52.7#115eFG%#30454.2
14.7#51TOV%#6718.6
31.3#152ORB%#23331.6
38.1#99FT rate#24537.2
11.7#332Block%#1529.8
54.9#118Assist%#18852.6
53.0#1302P%#26953.8
34.7#1403P%#33436.6
75.1#78FT%—
34.0#2963PA rate#22938.1

Northern Kentucky offense vs Oakland defense

Northern Kentucky OStatOakland D
70.9#58Tempo#5071.1
53.2#95eFG%#32254.7
16.3#156TOV%#28015.1
32.2#118ORB%#32434.4
35.9#157FT rate#524.6
7.7#40Block%#1539.8
55.5#101Assist%#36266.3
55.5#502P%#34257.0
33.6#1923P%#20434.3
72.1#206FT%—
44.9#713PA rate#10541.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Oakland

Wed, Mar 4HNorthern Kentucky217L 84–85
Sat, Feb 28HDetroit Mercy277L 89–95
Wed, Feb 25AIU Indy311W 86–74
Sun, Feb 22HMilwaukee247W 81–70
Fri, Feb 20HGreen Bay210L 68–73

Northern Kentucky

Mon, Mar 9NWright St.150L 90–103
Sun, Mar 8NGreen Bay210W 96–76
Wed, Mar 4AOakland208W 85–84
Sat, Feb 28HWright St.150L 91–92
Wed, Feb 25ACleveland St.284W 81–70