Model line
Detroit Mercy −7.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Detroit Mercy 78%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Detroit Mercy home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Detroit Mercy a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Purdue Fort Wayne offense vs Detroit Mercy defense
| Purdue Fort Wayne O | Stat | Detroit Mercy D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#149 | Tempo | #10169.7 |
| 52.6#120 | eFG% | #22652.2 |
| 14.5#42 | TOV% | #32414.4 |
| 22.9#351 | ORB% | #19230.8 |
| 30.6#291 | FT rate | #25337.6 |
| 8.3#81 | Block% | #1659.5 |
| 49.8#246 | Assist% | #32458.3 |
| 53.7#95 | 2P% | #26753.8 |
| 34.2#165 | 3P% | #13833.3 |
| 70.7#250 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#61 | 3PA rate | #7942.6 |
Detroit Mercy offense vs Purdue Fort Wayne defense
| Detroit Mercy O | Stat | Purdue Fort Wayne D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#101 | Tempo | #14969.0 |
| 49.5#264 | eFG% | #34656.1 |
| 16.0#137 | TOV% | #4519.1 |
| 33.3#82 | ORB% | #32634.5 |
| 32.6#248 | FT rate | #3628.5 |
| 7.9#50 | Block% | #1959.1 |
| 48.5#276 | Assist% | #27755.9 |
| 48.1#304 | 2P% | #31755.5 |
| 35.1#106 | 3P% | #35537.9 |
| 78.9#4 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#343 | 3PA rate | #4344.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Purdue Fort Wayne
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Green Bay210 | L 56–64 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | IU Indy311 | W 87–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wright St.150 | L 70–74 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 92–86 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Northern Kentucky217 | L 71–87 |
Detroit Mercy
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wright St.150 | L 63–66 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Robert Morris163 | W 70–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 84–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Oakland208 | W 95–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Robert Morris163 | L 62–73 |
