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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Youngstown St. · #248 · Horz · 0–0Northern Kentucky · #217 · Horz · 0–0Thu, Feb 4 · 7:00 PM ETTruist Arena · Highland Heights, KY
Model line
Northern Kentucky −8.5
Win probability
Northern Kentucky 82%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Northern Kentucky home
19%Win probability82%

The model makes Northern Kentucky a 8.5-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Youngstown St. offense vs Northern Kentucky defense

Youngstown St. OStatNorthern Kentucky D
68.6#169Tempo#5870.9
53.7#78eFG%#30454.2
18.8#314TOV%#6718.6
30.4#187ORB%#23331.6
31.4#273FT rate#24537.2
9.7#216Block%#1529.8
53.8#142Assist%#18852.6
56.6#362P%#26953.8
33.8#1863P%#33436.6
73.3#160FT%—
49.4#173PA rate#22938.1

Northern Kentucky offense vs Youngstown St. defense

Northern Kentucky OStatYoungstown St. D
70.9#58Tempo#16968.6
53.2#95eFG%#23352.3
16.3#156TOV%#11117.8
32.2#118ORB%#19130.7
35.9#157FT rate#21236.0
7.7#40Block%#1789.3
55.5#101Assist%#6347.8
55.5#502P%#18151.7
33.6#1923P%#28635.5
72.1#206FT%—
44.9#713PA rate#33234.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Youngstown St.

Wed, Mar 4ARobert Morris163L 53–68
Sat, Feb 28AGreen Bay210L 63–85
Wed, Feb 25AMilwaukee247L 65–78
Sun, Feb 22HNorthern Kentucky217W 64–58
Wed, Feb 18HCleveland St.284W 106–82

Northern Kentucky

Mon, Mar 9NWright St.150L 90–103
Sun, Mar 8NGreen Bay210W 96–76
Wed, Mar 4AOakland208W 85–84
Sat, Feb 28HWright St.150L 91–92
Wed, Feb 25ACleveland St.284W 81–70