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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Illinois · #278 · Horz · 0–1IU Indy · #311 · Horz · 1–0Thu, Feb 4 · 6:30 PM ETJames T. Morris Arena · Indianapolis, IN
Model line
IU Indy −6.2
Win probability
IU Indy 74%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
IU Indy home
26%Win probability74%

The model makes IU Indy a 6.2-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Illinois offense vs IU Indy defense

Northern Illinois OStatIU Indy D
69.0#147Tempo#475.0
47.6#321eFG%#36258.2
21.8#360TOV%#4119.2
30.3#189ORB%#34935.6
38.3#95FT rate#35646.6
14.5#365Block%#2827.6
51.8#195Assist%#17152.1
48.5#2982P%#35458.4
30.9#3223P%#36138.5
65.7#355FT%—
45.0#663PA rate#30035.7

IU Indy offense vs Northern Illinois defense

IU Indy OStatNorthern Illinois D
75.0#4Tempo#14769.0
52.2#139eFG%#34255.6
15.9#132TOV%#20216.3
28.7#243ORB%#15930.0
21.7#365FT rate#26838.3
7.9#53Block%#3525.3
61.9#19Assist%#22153.9
54.8#622P%#33556.3
32.4#2603P%#31936.3
72.1#204FT%—
42.1#1333PA rate#24537.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Illinois

Mon, Nov 2NGrambling St.326L 87–89
Fri, Mar 6AAkron100L 55–94
Tue, Mar 3HKent St.126L 76–102
Sat, Feb 28HBall St.220L 43–79
Tue, Feb 24AToledo144L 69–79

IU Indy

Mon, Nov 2HMiami Mid'townW 113–76
Mon, Mar 2ACleveland St.284L 93–101
Sat, Feb 28HPurdue Fort Wayne268L 81–87
Wed, Feb 25HOakland208L 74–86
Thu, Feb 19AWright St.150L 73–85