Model line
Northern Kentucky −10.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Kentucky 86%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Northern Kentucky home
15%Win probability86%
The model makes Northern Kentucky a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Illinois offense vs Northern Kentucky defense
| Northern Illinois O | Stat | Northern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#147 | Tempo | #5870.9 |
| 47.6#321 | eFG% | #30454.2 |
| 21.8#360 | TOV% | #6718.6 |
| 30.3#189 | ORB% | #23331.6 |
| 38.3#95 | FT rate | #24537.2 |
| 14.5#365 | Block% | #1529.8 |
| 51.8#195 | Assist% | #18852.6 |
| 48.5#298 | 2P% | #26953.8 |
| 30.9#322 | 3P% | #33436.6 |
| 65.7#355 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#66 | 3PA rate | #22938.1 |
Northern Kentucky offense vs Northern Illinois defense
| Northern Kentucky O | Stat | Northern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#58 | Tempo | #14769.0 |
| 53.2#95 | eFG% | #34255.6 |
| 16.3#156 | TOV% | #20216.3 |
| 32.2#118 | ORB% | #15930.0 |
| 35.9#157 | FT rate | #26838.3 |
| 7.7#40 | Block% | #3525.3 |
| 55.5#101 | Assist% | #22153.9 |
| 55.5#50 | 2P% | #33556.3 |
| 33.6#192 | 3P% | #31936.3 |
| 72.1#206 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#71 | 3PA rate | #24537.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Illinois
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 87–89 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Akron100 | L 55–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Kent St.126 | L 76–102 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Ball St.220 | L 43–79 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Toledo144 | L 69–79 |
Northern Kentucky
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Wright St.150 | L 90–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Green Bay210 | W 96–76 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Oakland208 | W 85–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wright St.150 | L 91–92 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 81–70 |
