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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Detroit Mercy · #277 · Horz · 0–0Oakland · #208 · Horz · 0–0Sun, Jan 17 · 3:00 PM ETOU Credit Union O'rena · Rochester, MI
Model line
Oakland −11.0
Win probability
Oakland 88%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Oakland home
12%Win probability88%

The model makes Oakland a 11.0-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Detroit Mercy offense vs Oakland defense

Detroit Mercy OStatOakland D
69.7#101Tempo#5071.1
49.5#264eFG%#32254.7
16.0#137TOV%#28015.1
33.3#82ORB%#32434.4
32.6#248FT rate#524.6
7.9#50Block%#1539.8
48.5#276Assist%#36266.3
48.1#3042P%#34257.0
35.1#1063P%#20434.3
78.9#4FT%—
30.7#3433PA rate#10541.7

Oakland offense vs Detroit Mercy defense

Oakland OStatDetroit Mercy D
71.1#50Tempo#10169.7
52.7#115eFG%#22652.2
14.7#51TOV%#32414.4
31.3#152ORB%#19230.8
38.1#99FT rate#25337.6
11.7#332Block%#1659.5
54.9#118Assist%#32458.3
53.0#1302P%#26753.8
34.7#1403P%#13833.3
75.1#78FT%—
34.0#2963PA rate#7942.6

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Detroit Mercy

Tue, Mar 10NWright St.150L 63–66
Mon, Mar 9NRobert Morris163W 70–64
Wed, Mar 4HMilwaukee247W 84–63
Sat, Feb 28AOakland208W 95–89
Wed, Feb 25ARobert Morris163L 62–73

Oakland

Wed, Mar 4HNorthern Kentucky217L 84–85
Sat, Feb 28HDetroit Mercy277L 89–95
Wed, Feb 25AIU Indy311W 86–74
Sun, Feb 22HMilwaukee247W 81–70
Fri, Feb 20HGreen Bay210L 68–73