Model line
Detroit Mercy −7.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Detroit Mercy 78%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Detroit Mercy home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Detroit Mercy a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Illinois offense vs Detroit Mercy defense
| Northern Illinois O | Stat | Detroit Mercy D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#147 | Tempo | #10169.7 |
| 47.6#321 | eFG% | #22652.2 |
| 21.8#360 | TOV% | #32414.4 |
| 30.3#189 | ORB% | #19230.8 |
| 38.3#95 | FT rate | #25337.6 |
| 14.5#365 | Block% | #1659.5 |
| 51.8#195 | Assist% | #32458.3 |
| 48.5#298 | 2P% | #26753.8 |
| 30.9#322 | 3P% | #13833.3 |
| 65.7#355 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#66 | 3PA rate | #7942.6 |
Detroit Mercy offense vs Northern Illinois defense
| Detroit Mercy O | Stat | Northern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#101 | Tempo | #14769.0 |
| 49.5#264 | eFG% | #34255.6 |
| 16.0#137 | TOV% | #20216.3 |
| 33.3#82 | ORB% | #15930.0 |
| 32.6#248 | FT rate | #26838.3 |
| 7.9#50 | Block% | #3525.3 |
| 48.5#276 | Assist% | #22153.9 |
| 48.1#304 | 2P% | #33556.3 |
| 35.1#106 | 3P% | #31936.3 |
| 78.9#4 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#343 | 3PA rate | #24537.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Illinois
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 87–89 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Akron100 | L 55–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Kent St.126 | L 76–102 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Ball St.220 | L 43–79 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Toledo144 | L 69–79 |
Detroit Mercy
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wright St.150 | L 63–66 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Robert Morris163 | W 70–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 84–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Oakland208 | W 95–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Robert Morris163 | L 62–73 |
