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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Cleveland St. · #284 · Horz · 0–0Northern Kentucky · #217 · Horz · 0–0Sun, Jan 3 · 2:00 PM ETTruist Arena · Highland Heights, KY
Model line
Northern Kentucky −10.8
Win probability
Northern Kentucky 87%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Northern Kentucky home
13%Win probability87%

The model makes Northern Kentucky a 10.8-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Cleveland St. offense vs Northern Kentucky defense

Cleveland St. OStatNorthern Kentucky D
71.4#33Tempo#5870.9
54.2#61eFG%#30454.2
17.8#256TOV%#6718.6
27.0#295ORB%#23331.6
37.9#103FT rate#24537.2
14.4#364Block%#1529.8
57.9#57Assist%#18852.6
52.0#1662P%#26953.8
37.5#213P%#33436.6
76.2#46FT%—
50.8#93PA rate#22938.1

Northern Kentucky offense vs Cleveland St. defense

Northern Kentucky OStatCleveland St. D
70.9#58Tempo#3371.4
53.2#95eFG%#36057.2
16.3#156TOV%#27515.1
32.2#118ORB%#35536.6
35.9#157FT rate#19435.5
7.7#40Block%#2987.3
55.5#101Assist%#32858.6
55.5#502P%#36259.5
33.6#1923P%#30936.2
72.1#206FT%—
44.9#713PA rate#4644.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Cleveland St.

Wed, Mar 4AWright St.150L 61–90
Mon, Mar 2HIU Indy311W 101–93
Sat, Feb 28ARobert Morris163L 64–83
Wed, Feb 25HNorthern Kentucky217L 70–81
Sun, Feb 22HPurdue Fort Wayne268L 86–92

Northern Kentucky

Mon, Mar 9NWright St.150L 90–103
Sun, Mar 8NGreen Bay210W 96–76
Wed, Mar 4AOakland208W 85–84
Sat, Feb 28HWright St.150L 91–92
Wed, Feb 25ACleveland St.284W 81–70