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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Illinois · #278 · Horz · 0–1Youngstown St. · #248 · Horz · 0–0Wed, Dec 30 · 4:00 PM ETESPN+Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center · Youngstown, OH
Model line
Youngstown St. −7.7
Win probability
Youngstown St. 79%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Youngstown St. home
21%Win probability79%

The model makes Youngstown St. a 7.7-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Illinois offense vs Youngstown St. defense

Northern Illinois OStatYoungstown St. D
69.0#147Tempo#16968.6
47.6#321eFG%#23352.3
21.8#360TOV%#11117.8
30.3#189ORB%#19130.7
38.3#95FT rate#21236.0
14.5#365Block%#1789.3
51.8#195Assist%#6347.8
48.5#2982P%#18151.7
30.9#3223P%#28635.5
65.7#355FT%—
45.0#663PA rate#33234.3

Youngstown St. offense vs Northern Illinois defense

Youngstown St. OStatNorthern Illinois D
68.6#169Tempo#14769.0
53.7#78eFG%#34255.6
18.8#314TOV%#20216.3
30.4#187ORB%#15930.0
31.4#273FT rate#26838.3
9.7#216Block%#3525.3
53.8#142Assist%#22153.9
56.6#362P%#33556.3
33.8#1863P%#31936.3
73.3#160FT%—
49.4#173PA rate#24537.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Illinois

Mon, Nov 2NGrambling St.326L 87–89
Fri, Mar 6AAkron100L 55–94
Tue, Mar 3HKent St.126L 76–102
Sat, Feb 28HBall St.220L 43–79
Tue, Feb 24AToledo144L 69–79

Youngstown St.

Wed, Mar 4ARobert Morris163L 53–68
Sat, Feb 28AGreen Bay210L 63–85
Wed, Feb 25AMilwaukee247L 65–78
Sun, Feb 22HNorthern Kentucky217W 64–58
Wed, Feb 18HCleveland St.284W 106–82