Model line
Detroit Mercy −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Detroit Mercy 66%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Detroit Mercy home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Detroit Mercy a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Kentucky offense vs Detroit Mercy defense
| Northern Kentucky O | Stat | Detroit Mercy D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#58 | Tempo | #10169.7 |
| 53.2#95 | eFG% | #22652.2 |
| 16.3#156 | TOV% | #32414.4 |
| 32.2#118 | ORB% | #19230.8 |
| 35.9#157 | FT rate | #25337.6 |
| 7.7#40 | Block% | #1659.5 |
| 55.5#101 | Assist% | #32458.3 |
| 55.5#50 | 2P% | #26753.8 |
| 33.6#192 | 3P% | #13833.3 |
| 72.1#206 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#71 | 3PA rate | #7942.6 |
Detroit Mercy offense vs Northern Kentucky defense
| Detroit Mercy O | Stat | Northern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#101 | Tempo | #5870.9 |
| 49.5#264 | eFG% | #30454.2 |
| 16.0#137 | TOV% | #6718.6 |
| 33.3#82 | ORB% | #23331.6 |
| 32.6#248 | FT rate | #24537.2 |
| 7.9#50 | Block% | #1529.8 |
| 48.5#276 | Assist% | #18852.6 |
| 48.1#304 | 2P% | #26953.8 |
| 35.1#106 | 3P% | #33436.6 |
| 78.9#4 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#343 | 3PA rate | #22938.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Kentucky
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Wright St.150 | L 90–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Green Bay210 | W 96–76 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Oakland208 | W 85–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wright St.150 | L 91–92 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 81–70 |
Detroit Mercy
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wright St.150 | L 63–66 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Robert Morris163 | W 70–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 84–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Oakland208 | W 95–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Robert Morris163 | L 62–73 |
