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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Milwaukee · #247 · Horz · 0–0Northern Illinois · #278 · Horz · 0–1Sat, Dec 5 · 3:00 PM ETESPN+NIU Convocation Center · Dekalb, IL
Model line
Northern Illinois −5.2
Win probability
Northern Illinois 71%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Northern Illinois home
29%Win probability71%

The model makes Northern Illinois a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Milwaukee offense vs Northern Illinois defense

Milwaukee OStatNorthern Illinois D
69.1#143Tempo#14769.0
49.9#239eFG%#34255.6
15.2#82TOV%#20216.3
33.0#90ORB%#15930.0
32.1#256FT rate#26838.3
9.5#185Block%#3525.3
48.1#284Assist%#22153.9
50.8#2182P%#33556.3
32.3#2663P%#31936.3
68.7#304FT%—
38.1#2123PA rate#24537.7

Northern Illinois offense vs Milwaukee defense

Northern Illinois OStatMilwaukee D
69.0#147Tempo#14369.1
47.6#321eFG%#34055.5
21.8#360TOV%#23115.8
30.3#189ORB%#12129.2
38.3#95FT rate#20935.9
14.5#365Block%#2278.5
51.8#195Assist%#27555.8
48.5#2982P%#32656.0
30.9#3223P%#32636.5
65.7#355FT%—
45.0#663PA rate#15640.2

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Milwaukee

Wed, Mar 4ADetroit Mercy277L 63–84
Wed, Feb 25HYoungstown St.248W 78–65
Sun, Feb 22AOakland208L 70–81
Fri, Feb 20ADetroit Mercy277L 86–91
Sun, Feb 15HGreen Bay210W 75–72

Northern Illinois

Mon, Nov 2NGrambling St.326L 87–89
Fri, Mar 6AAkron100L 55–94
Tue, Mar 3HKent St.126L 76–102
Sat, Feb 28HBall St.220L 43–79
Tue, Feb 24AToledo144L 69–79