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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Illinois · #278 · Horz · 0–1Green Bay · #210 · Horz · 0–0Thu, Dec 3 · 7:30 PM ETESPN+Resch Center · Ashwaubenon, WI
Model line
Green Bay −9.9
Win probability
Green Bay 85%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Green Bay home
15%Win probability85%

The model makes Green Bay a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Illinois offense vs Green Bay defense

Northern Illinois OStatGreen Bay D
69.0#147Tempo#33664.7
47.6#321eFG%#28753.6
21.8#360TOV%#35113.2
30.3#189ORB%#14029.6
38.3#95FT rate#24837.4
14.5#365Block%#2378.4
51.8#195Assist%#31057.8
48.5#2982P%#23352.9
30.9#3223P%#31636.3
65.7#355FT%—
45.0#663PA rate#5743.3

Green Bay offense vs Northern Illinois defense

Green Bay OStatNorthern Illinois D
64.7#336Tempo#14769.0
54.9#42eFG%#34255.6
16.0#138TOV%#20216.3
25.1#338ORB%#15930.0
41.6#36FT rate#26838.3
9.3#162Block%#3525.3
54.5#126Assist%#22153.9
55.0#562P%#33556.3
36.4#423P%#31936.3
77.5#24FT%—
37.3#2243PA rate#24537.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Illinois

Mon, Nov 2NGrambling St.326L 87–89
Fri, Mar 6AAkron100L 55–94
Tue, Mar 3HKent St.126L 76–102
Sat, Feb 28HBall St.220L 43–79
Tue, Feb 24AToledo144L 69–79

Green Bay

Sun, Mar 8NNorthern Kentucky217L 76–96
Tue, Mar 3HPurdue Fort Wayne268W 64–56
Sat, Feb 28HYoungstown St.248W 85–63
Sun, Feb 22ADetroit Mercy277L 70–74
Fri, Feb 20AOakland208W 73–68