Model line
TCU −34.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
TCU >99%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
TCU home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes TCU a 34.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama St. offense vs TCU defense
| Alabama St. O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#38 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 47.1#333 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 18.3#286 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 31.9#126 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 34.9#183 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 11.0#299 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 47.6#293 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 46.8#333 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 31.8#285 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 70.5#253 | FT% | — |
| 38.5#200 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
TCU offense vs Alabama St. defense
| TCU O | Stat | Alabama St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #3871.3 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #22252.2 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #6018.7 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #22631.5 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #32742.3 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #8811.0 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #25355.0 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #22752.8 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #19334.2 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #14640.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alcorn St.340 | L 65–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Grambling St.326 | L 63–65 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Southern293 | L 64–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 89–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Florida A&M317 | L 63–76 |
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
