Model line
Notre Dame −4.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 70%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
31%Win probability70%
The model makes Notre Dame a 4.8-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
TCU offense vs Notre Dame defense
| TCU O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs TCU defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
