Model line
TCU −32.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
TCU >99%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
TCU home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes TCU a 32.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern offense vs TCU defense
| Southern O | Stat | TCU D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #12369.4 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #17351.2 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #3219.6 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #11529.1 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #7430.5 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #3712.6 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #35061.4 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #18551.8 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #15733.5 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #22338.3 |
TCU offense vs Southern defense
| TCU O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#123 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 50.4#222 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 15.3#90 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 34.0#67 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 37.5#115 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 9.8#226 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 57.3#66 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 50.8#222 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 33.2#219 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 70.4#258 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#234 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
TCU
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Duke1 | L 58–81 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Ohio St.26 | W 66–64 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kansas8 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | W 95–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Cincinnati30 | W 73–63 |
