Model line
Oklahoma St. −33.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oklahoma St. >99%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Oklahoma St. home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Oklahoma St. a 33.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs Oklahoma St. defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Oklahoma St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #674.1 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #26652.9 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #23415.8 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #17530.2 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #10131.8 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #3067.1 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #30357.3 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #22352.6 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #28335.5 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #6443.2 |
Oklahoma St. offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Oklahoma St. O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.1#6 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 52.2#141 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 15.8#122 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 31.0#164 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 39.7#62 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 10.5#275 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 50.9#221 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 52.8#136 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 34.0#172 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 74.9#86 | FT% | — |
| 35.6#256 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
Oklahoma St.
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 70–96 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Davidson121 | W 84–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | TCU50 | L 88–95 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Colorado87 | W 92–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Houston4 | L 75–82 |
