Model line
Kentucky −15.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Kentucky 95%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Kentucky home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Kentucky a 15.5-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wichita St. offense vs Kentucky defense
| Wichita St. O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#225 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 49.4#274 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 15.2#83 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 38.3#6 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 36.1#149 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 8.3#87 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 41.9#354 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 49.0#284 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 33.4#205 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 68.4#318 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#300 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Kentucky offense vs Wichita St. defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Wichita St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #22567.5 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #2547.2 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #22815.9 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #10629.0 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #16234.4 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #13310.1 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #1644.0 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #3947.5 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #3931.1 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #33434.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wichita St.
| Tue, Mar 24 | A | Tulsa104 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Oklahoma St.52 | W 96–70 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Wyoming117 | W 74–70 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | South Florida92 | L 55–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Tulsa104 | W 81–68 |
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
