Model line
USC −5.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC 71%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Neutral
71%Win probability29%
The model makes USC a 5.2-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
USC offense vs Wichita St. defense
| USC O | Stat | Wichita St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #22567.5 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #2547.2 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #22815.9 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #10629.0 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #16234.4 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #13310.1 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #1644.0 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #3947.5 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #3931.1 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #33434.1 |
Wichita St. offense vs USC defense
| Wichita St. O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#225 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 49.4#274 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 15.2#83 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 38.3#6 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 36.1#149 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 8.3#87 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 41.9#354 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 49.0#284 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 33.4#205 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 68.4#318 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#300 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
Wichita St.
| Tue, Mar 24 | A | Tulsa104 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Oklahoma St.52 | W 96–70 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Wyoming117 | W 74–70 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | South Florida92 | L 55–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Tulsa104 | W 81–68 |
