Model line
UAB −11.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UAB 88%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
UAB home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes UAB a 11.2-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Middle Tennessee offense vs UAB defense
| Middle Tennessee O | Stat | UAB D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6#263 | Tempo | #8370.3 |
| 51.6#169 | eFG% | #10250.0 |
| 17.1#209 | TOV% | #22216.1 |
| 30.7#172 | ORB% | #5727.7 |
| 32.7#246 | FT rate | #3828.7 |
| 8.3#78 | Block% | #1739.4 |
| 53.5#150 | Assist% | #12250.3 |
| 52.3#156 | 2P% | #12650.7 |
| 33.8#184 | 3P% | #9432.6 |
| 70.2#266 | FT% | — |
| 45.3#60 | 3PA rate | #19339.2 |
UAB offense vs Middle Tennessee defense
| UAB O | Stat | Middle Tennessee D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#83 | Tempo | #26366.6 |
| 48.4#305 | eFG% | #15951.0 |
| 12.5#2 | TOV% | #29115.0 |
| 32.5#108 | ORB% | #8628.5 |
| 36.4#143 | FT rate | #20335.7 |
| 9.7#214 | Block% | #10110.7 |
| 50.3#236 | Assist% | #5147.2 |
| 51.3#202 | 2P% | #13951.0 |
| 27.8#364 | 3P% | #17433.9 |
| 70.6#252 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#350 | 3PA rate | #31035.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Middle Tennessee
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Fisk | W 117–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 69–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Missouri St.263 | W 75–63 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | FIU187 | W 73–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 86–85 |
UAB
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Charlotte112 | L 78–83 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | East Carolina185 | W 90–83 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Charlotte112 | W 80–74 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Memphis84 | W 78–67 |
