Model line
Troy −4.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 67%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Troy home
33%Win probability67%
The model makes Troy a 4.3-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UAB offense vs Troy defense
| UAB O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#83 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 48.4#305 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 12.5#2 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 32.5#108 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 36.4#143 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 9.7#214 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 50.3#236 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 51.3#202 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 27.8#364 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 70.6#252 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#350 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Troy offense vs UAB defense
| Troy O | Stat | UAB D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #8370.3 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #10250.0 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #22216.1 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #5727.7 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #3828.7 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #1739.4 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #12250.3 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #12650.7 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #9432.6 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #19339.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UAB
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Charlotte112 | L 78–83 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | East Carolina185 | W 90–83 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Charlotte112 | W 80–74 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | North Texas114 | L 58–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Memphis84 | W 78–67 |
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
