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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

South Florida · #92 · Amer · 0–0Charleston · #133 · CAA · 0–0Tue, Dec 22 · 7:00 PM ETTD Arena · Charleston, SC
Model line
Charleston −4.2
Win probability
Charleston 67%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Charleston home
33%Win probability67%

The model makes Charleston a 4.2-point favorite, winning about 67 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

South Florida offense vs Charleston defense

South Florida OStatCharleston D
73.0#12Tempo#18368.3
50.6#211eFG%#7449.2
15.1#72TOV%#30614.7
38.1#8ORB%#27132.3
40.4#55FT rate#1426.1
13.1#357Block%#2612.9
58.4#53Assist%#20653.2
52.0#1682P%#7749.5
32.5#2563P%#8932.6
74.6#100FT%—
43.8#963PA rate#4943.7

Charleston offense vs South Florida defense

Charleston OStatSouth Florida D
68.3#183Tempo#1273.0
50.5#212eFG%#6048.8
15.7#115TOV%#4619.1
29.9#203ORB%#25231.9
41.2#42FT rate#28839.1
8.6#107Block%#9510.9
52.6#173Assist%#16151.6
53.4#1092P%#2646.9
30.6#3303P%#21934.5
73.6#146FT%—
38.1#2093PA rate#17439.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

South Florida

Thu, Mar 19NLouisville15L 79–83
Sun, Mar 15NWichita St.80W 70–55
Sat, Mar 14NCharlotte112W 86–64
Sun, Mar 8HCharlotte112W 83–60
Thu, Mar 5AMemphis84W 96–89

Charleston

Sun, Mar 8NTowson179L 56–81
Sun, Mar 1AUNC Wilmington107W 79–76
Thu, Feb 26AHampton221W 85–71
Sat, Feb 21HMonmouth193W 74–63
Thu, Feb 19ANorth Carolina A&T300W 74–61