Model line
South Florida −18.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Florida 97%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
South Florida home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes South Florida a 18.1-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Jacksonville offense vs South Florida defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
South Florida offense vs Jacksonville defense
| South Florida O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
