Model line
South Florida −15.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Florida 95%
Projected tempo
72.5
possessions
Site
South Florida home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes South Florida a 15.8-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tennessee St. offense vs South Florida defense
| Tennessee St. O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.8#62 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 50.0#236 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 16.7#180 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 34.8#53 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 33.4#227 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 7.7#43 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 45.5#327 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 50.0#255 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 33.3#213 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 76.0#52 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#345 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
South Florida offense vs Tennessee St. defense
| South Florida O | Stat | Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #6270.8 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #19351.6 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #2919.8 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #18730.6 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #31741.4 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #11710.5 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #12150.3 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #19552.0 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #18534.0 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #29135.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tennessee St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Murray St.97 | L 64–94 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 74–108 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Morehead St.329 | W 93–67 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Tennessee Martin312 | W 68–55 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–42 |
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
