Model line
South Florida −3.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
South Florida 63%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Neutral
37%Win probability63%
The model makes South Florida a 3.1-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Joseph's offense vs South Florida defense
| Saint Joseph's O | Stat | South Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#199 | Tempo | #1273.0 |
| 49.2#284 | eFG% | #6048.8 |
| 17.0#203 | TOV% | #4619.1 |
| 31.6#140 | ORB% | #25231.9 |
| 30.5#297 | FT rate | #28839.1 |
| 11.2#317 | Block% | #9510.9 |
| 60.0#31 | Assist% | #16151.6 |
| 51.7#184 | 2P% | #2646.9 |
| 30.8#325 | 3P% | #21934.5 |
| 74.3#116 | FT% | — |
| 45.1#64 | 3PA rate | #17439.7 |
South Florida offense vs Saint Joseph's defense
| South Florida O | Stat | Saint Joseph's D |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0#12 | Tempo | #19968.0 |
| 50.6#211 | eFG% | #2947.4 |
| 15.1#72 | TOV% | #27115.2 |
| 38.1#8 | ORB% | #19730.9 |
| 40.4#55 | FT rate | #1626.5 |
| 13.1#357 | Block% | #3612.6 |
| 58.4#53 | Assist% | #16451.7 |
| 52.0#168 | 2P% | #3847.5 |
| 32.5#256 | 3P% | #4931.5 |
| 74.6#100 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#96 | 3PA rate | #15940.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Joseph's
| Tue, Mar 24 | A | New Mexico66 | L 69–84 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | California94 | W 76–75 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Colorado St.83 | W 69–64 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | VCU53 | L 64–77 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Davidson121 | W 70–58 |
South Florida
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Louisville15 | L 79–83 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Wichita St.80 | W 70–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Charlotte112 | W 86–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Charlotte112 | W 83–60 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Memphis84 | W 96–89 |
