Model line
Memphis −3.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 65%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Memphis home
35%Win probability65%
The model makes Memphis a 3.7-point favorite, winning about 65 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Utah St. offense vs Memphis defense
| Utah St. O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.3#191 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 56.6#16 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 15.3#92 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 33.2#87 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 39.5#70 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 9.6#204 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 60.0#32 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 59.8#9 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 34.6#145 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 71.0#240 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#161 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Memphis offense vs Utah St. defense
| Memphis O | Stat | Utah St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #19168.3 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #9149.8 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #1820.4 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #26032.0 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #27038.3 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #2338.5 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #10849.8 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #5248.5 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #21534.4 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #12641.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Utah St.
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Arizona5 | L 66–78 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Villanova47 | W 86–76 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | San Diego St.73 | W 73–62 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Nevada77 | W 79–66 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | UNLV89 | W 80–60 |
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
