Model line
Memphis −19.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Memphis 98%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Memphis home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Memphis a 19.7-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Little Rock offense vs Memphis defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Memphis D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #3571.4 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #5448.7 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #7318.5 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #35035.6 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #32942.4 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #3212.7 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #24454.7 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #13751.0 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #2330.5 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #6343.2 |
Memphis offense vs Little Rock defense
| Memphis O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#35 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 48.7#296 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 18.9#318 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 35.3#41 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 34.7#191 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 10.4#267 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 49.8#245 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 49.4#274 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 31.6#301 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 72.1#205 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#303 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
Memphis
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tulane153 | L 69–81 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Tulane153 | W 96–95 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | South Florida92 | L 89–96 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | East Carolina185 | L 68–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Wichita St.80 | L 82–88 |
